Showers and thunderstorms have been fewer and fewer over the past couple days as the overall pattern continues to slowly change. The moisture fetch from the Gulf Of Mexico that has been responsible for our early season humidity will slowly be shut off, meaning a change in the pattern later this week.

The cold front that pushed through earlier today will lift back through as a warm front today. This will produce another day with isolated showers and thunderstorms as highs climb into the middle 80s. Then, on Wednesday, a strong cold front will push through, bringing a brief end to the soggy weather pattern with the potential for strong storms in the evening.

By Thursday and Friday, we should make it through two days without any rain in the entire region. But the unsettled weather doesn't stay away for long, as the next system gets fired up, which mean rain could impact the Memorial Day weekend.

A broad area of low pressure, with origins in the tropics, will slowly ride north through the Gulf of Mexico this week, before coming ashore in the Deep South. The National Hurricane Center has placed a 40% chance that over the next 5 days it will organize enough to become a named system. These chances are low. This time of the year any storm that originates in the Gulf of Mexico is usually poorly organized and messy. That being said, they are also typically chocked full of moisture, meaning a ton of rain for the gulf coast and eventually southeast and mid-Atlantic. That moisture could then stream north into Hampton Roads later this weekend, bringing a good chance of rain Sunday and Memorial Day. This forecast could change, but it's not too early to start thinking about having alternate plans for any outdoor activities.

PHOTOS: Flooding across Hampton Roads on May 17, 2018

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